Transition finance is emerging as a value proposition concept for supporting the climate transition, especially in the Global South. Although the concept doesn’t have a universal definition, transition finance reflects a financial mechanism which can promote investment in projects, sectors, and industries which cannot yet be considered low carbon, but are either on or working towards a credible net zero pathway and require significant early-stage support for net zero emissions viability.
Some taxonomies - ASEAN-2, European taxonomy - take transition finance into consideration, but a universal definition or consensus has not yet been adopted. Definitions by GFANZ, ADB, CBI, and others provide broader guidance on the topic, but their definitions do not extend to either the sectoral or activity level. While transition finance is being spoken about, the mobilization of finance is limited, and its tracking comes with significant challenges.
CPI’s Net Zero Finance Tracker estimates that, in 2024, financial institutions’ direct investment in clean energy and transition projects reached approximately USD 114 billion. Of total direct investment in new energy projects, 65% went to clean energy and transition projects, while 35% went to fossil fuel projects. CPI estimates that, to align with net-zero pathways, the share for clean energy and transition projects in new investment would need to rise to 78–100%, based on net-zero scenario data from NGFS/GCAM and the IEA.
Products like transition bonds are seeing muted issuances compared to other labeled instruments and also the quantum of finance required. Carbon credits from transition activities (example - Coal-to-Clean Credit Initiative/ CCCI) have been launched and are being pursued. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has proposed the creation of a new asset class of carbon credits, known as transition credits, which can be generated when coal-fired power plants are retired early and replaced with cleaner energy sources.
CPI’s Net Zero Finance Tracker estimates that, in 2024, financial institutions’ direct investment in clean energy and transition projects reached approximately USD 114 billion. Of total direct investment in new energy projects, 65% went to clean energy and transition projects, while 35% went to fossil fuel projects. CPI estimates that, to align with net-zero pathways, the share for clean energy and transition projects in new investment would need to rise to 78–100%, based on net-zero scenario data from NGFS/GCAM and the IEA.
IEA, and BNEF are providing definitions of transition finance for the power sector that are used to track investment flows. The definitions embed both clean energy finance, and fossil fuel low carbon technologies. Country-specific pathways should, ideally, be taken into account when defining transition finance at a regional or country level, but these are not always reflected in methodologies.